Congress' Dilemma: More Unemployment Extensions or Create More 99ers

President Obama did not mention the 99ers when he made his speech about his proposed new jobs creation bill. But that bill contains within it the provision to reauthorize the soon-to-expire unemployment extensions for the long-term unemployed. With the economic future looking bleak, Congress may be faced with a dilemma: Reauthorize or create more 99ers.

When President Barack Obama addressed the special joint session of Congress on September 8, there was little to no chance that he would mention the 99ers. Although he was addressing the economy, unemployment, and his plan to spur job growth in the coming year, he left that segment of the unemployed population out. But in the omission, Obama was no different than most politicians. Washington has been very stingy with time allotted to even mentioning the long-term unemployed (those who have been without a job for a minimum of 26 weeks, the traditional number of weeks afforded recipients of unemployment benefits), almost as if the mere mention of people who have been without work for 99 weeks or longer could cause some kind of cascade effect or job-loss epidemic. And legislation regarding 99ers? Almost completely nonexistent. So an acknowledgement by the president was not to be expected.

What was expected -- and stated -- was s a call for Congress to pass legislation that would reauthorize the current emergency and extended unemployment benefits that expire in December. There were also provisions within the American Jobs Act, which was subsequently delivered to Congress, to extend tax cuts and exercise spending cuts of over $300 billion in an effort to spur job growth. One provision calls for an extension of the current payroll tax rate, which is at 4.2 percent (as opposed to the pre-cut rate of 6.2 percent). Another is an incentive program to offer tax breaks to employers that hire.

But those who have been out of work since 2009, those who were gainfully employed until 2009 and became unemployed through no fault of their own (one cannot receive benefits if one is fired or quits one's job) and cannot find employment, will not be mentioned.

To be fair to President Obama, Republicans would be even less likely to mention the unemployed in any capacity, given the party's strident efforts to defund the extended benefits programs in the past. And with the advent of the influence of the tea party movement within their ranks, sympathy toward the plight of the long-term unemployed has been nearly nullified.

It might be difficult for many to recall exactly who the 99ers are, given the media's transient interest in the constantly altering sub-population within massive numbers of the jobless. One does not hear much about the 99ers anymore, their calls for relief relegated to the specialized blogs, Arthur Delaney's Huffington Post chronicles of the long-term unemployed, the occasional mainstream media human interest story, and the occasional shout-out from MSNBC's Ed Schultz. To reintroduce: 99ers are the long-term unemployed who have fallen from the unemployment roles, their regular unemployment benefits and the extended and emergency benefits (which in some states enhance regular jobless benefits up to 99 total weeks, hence the moniker "99er") exhausted with scant prospects of employment opportunities increasing in the near future. They are a growing population that very well could climb precipitously at the beginning of the new year, their millions only kept at bay by another reauthorization of extended benefits.

It is to prevent such a precipitous rise that the president will introduce legislation for the reauthorization of unemployment extensions, which are embodied in a four-part Tier system, their method of dispersal dependent upon the states themselves.

At present, the number of 99ers, at least according to official government estimates that are available upon request from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (per Lila Shapiro at Huffington Post, because the data is not available with the regularly reported Department of Labor statistics), stands at 2.04 million individuals, up from 2.01 million in July. But the numbers that make the figures even more disturbing than they already are rests with the numbers of unemployed that are currently in the long-term category -- over 6 million. And those 6 million are apart from the official count.

Unofficial estimates of 99ers range anywhere from 2-6 million, depending upon the source.

For those numbers to stay at around 2.04 million officially, unemployment benefits extensions will have to be reauthorized. Failure to do so will only create more 99ers sooner than later.

Congress will have a decision to make before year's end.

At present, there are no active legislative measures scheduled for introduction or consideration designed to aid 99ers.

(photo credit: U. S. Congress, Wikimedia Commons)

Comments

Submitted by Anonymous NJ 99er (not verified) on
'To reintroduce: 99ers are the long-term unemployed who have fallen from the unemployment roles, their regular unemployment benefits and the extended and emergency benefits (which in some states enhance regular jobless benefits up to 99 total weeks, hence the moniker "99er") exhausted with scant prospects of employment opportunities increasing in the near future. They are a growing population that very well could climb precipitously at the beginning of the new year, their millions only kept at bay by another reauthorization of extended benefits.' 99ers are called just that because they used up all four tiers and extended state benefits up to 99 weeks. Reauthorizing the existing tiers wont do jack about creating more 99ers. Meanawhile those 99 weeks ended in early 2010 are either out on the street, ashamed to all hell for living with relatives/parents or are so clinically depressed that they barely get out of bed anymore. A 5th tier would be needed to help the 99ers. H.R. 589 would be the way to do that but I doubt that'll get passed either. Sickening how much this country hates to help out others who as you pointed out and everyone else knows are unemployed 'through no fault of their own'. Yes 99 weeks normally would be more than plenty, but this is the second Great Depression here (Great Recession my butt). More needs to be done.

Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on
I'm sorry just don't think enough is being done. Out of work for over 2yrs.now, thinking that , What if you were in our shoes wouldn't you want the exrta help to just get buy for few more weeks. But your are not in our shoes and you are not walking the walk, so you have noooo idea what we are going thru, none. You just think it's easier said than done. I have health issues that need to be dealt with no money,my Mther needs to be in a proper environment because her Health is degenerative and progressing but because I can't make it on my own she has to wait, Tell me do you think that is right? It's just a few weeks we are asking for the extra help. I am on food stamps do u know what it's like to have absoluetly no money whatsoever. The 99ers are being shoved under the rug and r forgotten. I can't even afford bus fair and to ask us to borrow the money is just an easy way out for the Government to help those whe reeeeeally need HELP When an employer finds you have been out out work for a lond time they don't and won't even consider you as employable I should know. I am 51yrs old, hell they don't even consider me re-trainable. But you take someone still in thier 20's and there you go. We are just asking for the financial extention to not only help pay the bills the rent mortegage,ete. but lift our spirits as well get out of a depressed slump, MOTIVATE and give a little hope. Is it really that much to ask ? So many homeless so many soon to be homeless. JUst don,t get it. I know you responded to my comment before but situation is still here for so many. Please help us for a TIER 5 we could really used your support, thw jobs are so few and our debts are getting greater. This economy is bad it is the 2nd "GREAT DEPRESSION" you said stated it yourself. Please.....................we would all love to get our life back, and most importantly to live and breath again and to take care of our own. .....

Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on
Congress and the administration are side stepping the issue and it will haunt them in the next election. The mainstream media has no time or tolerance for the truth. Below is an honest assessment by Michael Thorton in Huff Post Business on 9/18/2011 of the current true state of unemployment in the US. This is not what all politicians want you to hear. Think abouit it, the Dems pump sunshine and the Reps sit back and smile while the rope around the country's neck gets tighter. Unfortunately, what is happening to real people is of no real interest to any of them. Read the best accounting of the current situation below: "President Obama recently addressed the nation during a joint session of Congress and the main theme of that address was the need to create jobs, lots of jobs, millions of jobs. The Great Recession has cost US workers millions of jobs and those jobs have not come back as quickly as they disappeared and in many cases those jobs will never return. According to the Economic Policy Institute, "In total, there are 6.9 million fewer jobs today than there were in December 2007." That is only a small part of the jobs-hole story, a story that is often ignored, overlooked and oversimplified by mass media. The media has failed to present the unemployment problem, with all its associated economically devastating consequences, in the manner it deserves. It's possible that unemployment facts and figures don't translate well for advertisers, or they are too cumbersome to present in a two-minute segment. Whatever the reason, the mass media seem to avoid unemployment details as they would avoid describing and filming fresh road kill during a dinnertime newscast. While some excellent blogs clearly explain unemployment data, such as Mish's Economic Trend Analysis, Calculated Risk and Economic Populist, mass media sites are absent. The unemployment rate remained at 9.1 percent for August. Unemployment to the mass media generally centers on that single point within the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) monthly employment report. There is passing mention of discouraged workers and the underemployed, but the true scale of the jobs crisis is given scant attention considering the magnitude of the problem. What follows are 11 unemployment details that mass media underreports or ignores completely. This list will not be recalled fondly as a top-10 list of best quarterbacks or favorite vacation retreats would, but it's where the REAL unemployment crisis is exposed. 1. The jobs deficit: That is the total number of jobs lost PLUS jobs that should have been created since the recession began in December 2007; as mentioned above, there are 6.9 million fewer jobs today than at the start of the Great Recession, but that tells only half the tale of the jobs deficit. There is also the matter of creating jobs to keep up with the increase in workforce population. Those new workers include high school and college graduates, and immigrants. The number of jobs that need to be created each month to accommodate new entrants into the workforce ranges from 120,000 - 150,000. Adding together the jobs lost since the recession and the new jobs needed for population growth, the total jobs deficit is estimated to be 11.3 million. A few tax breaks, some targeted workforce retraining and some regulatory relief for businesses are not going to be the forces behind the creation of more than 11 million jobs. A massive effort is required to fill that gaping jobs hole. 2. Filling the jobs deficit: According to EPI: "To fill that gap in three years -- by mid-2014 -- while still keeping up with the growth in the working-age population -- would require adding around 400,000 jobs every single month. To fill the gap in five years -- by mid-2016 -- would mean adding 280,000 jobs each month. By comparison, over the last three months, the economy added just 35,000 jobs, on average." It's striking that the economy has created only 105,000 jobs during the past three months. When considering only the new entrants to the workforce, such as recent college graduates, that three-month span produced a shortage of 270,000 or more jobs. 3. The Birth/Death Model: This is not births and deaths of people, but of businesses. The BLS estimates how many jobs were created or lost by business formations or closings. In August, the BLS estimated that 87,000 jobs were created by new businesses. This is an often discussed employment barometer at many economy centered blogs, but mass media pays it meager attention. Why is that so? It's a complicated model that can make the head spin of even the most astute employment expert. But there appears to be agreement that the model has a tendency to misread the economic cycle, as Calculated Risk points out, "A few years ago several people -- myself included -- pointed out that the birth/death model would miss turning points in employment. I thought the model would overstate the number of jobs added as the economy slid into recession (and understate the number of jobs lost monthly during a recession). Sure enough that is what the annual benchmark revision showed during the employment recession." To illustrate just how wide this model can be off the jobs mark, Bloomberg shows that 824,000 jobs "disappeared" after a birth/death model adjustment in February 2010. That adjustment is important because if it was known that job creation was weaker by 824,000 jobs during 2009, additional job creation efforts could have been considered. At present job creation is stagnant and we won't know what role the birth/death model has on today's job numbers until 2012. But if history is any guide, job creation may again be overstated. 4. JOLTS (Job Openings Labor Turnover Survey): This monthly BLS report gives an indication of the number of available jobs. On the occasion that it is mentioned by the media, it offers only a sliver of the issue, such as the number of unemployed per job opening, which stands currently at 4.3. From the BLS, "The number of job openings in July was 3.2 million, little changed from June. Although the number of job openings remained below the 4.4 million openings when the recession began in December 2007, the level in July was 1.1 million openings higher than in July 2009 (the most recent trough). " What is missing from that JOLTS report? Plenty. First, the 4.3 unemployed per job opening is limited to the 14 million U3 unemployed (the 9.1 percent). But those aren't the only unemployed wanting a full-time job. There are the 2.6 million marginally attached workers, 8.8 million underemployed (those who want full-time work, but are working part-time). I'm not going to include the 3.9 million non-unemployed unemployed (explained later). When those 11.4 million workers are included with the 14 million U3 unemployed, there are 25.4 million workers and 3.2 million jobs, or 8 unemployed or underemployed workers per job opening. The second issue with JOLTS is that it doesn't distinguish whether the available jobs are full-time or part-time. According to a BLS representative "Part-time jobs are included in our job openings counts; however, we do not distinguish between full and part-time positions. We only ask if the position exists, not which type of position it is." It's important to know how many job openings are part-time, since part-time jobs usually pay less and offer fewer, if any, benefits. Extrapolating from the BLS "Employed persons by class of worker and part-time status" data, there are 139,627,000 employed workers, of which 27,034,000 are part-timers. More than 19 percent of all workers work part-time. If nearly 20 percent of all available job openings are part-time, there are only 2.56 million full-time jobs for 25.4 million unemployed and underemployed who want full-time work, or 10 workers for each available full-time position; more than double the 4.3 workers per job opening touted by most media outlets. 5. The participation rate: Is, according to the BLS, "The labor force as a percent of the civilian noninstitutional population." Or, more simply, the percentage of the working-age population that is working or is actively looking for a job. The participation rate rose 0.1 percent in August to 64 percent, which is slightly above the 27-year low recorded in July of 63.9 percent. If more jobs were available would there be more participation? More than likely that would be the case. The mass media very seldom mentions this point, but the participation rate shows the potential number of people waiting on the sidelines for the job market to improve before they jump back in. A couple of striking graphs of the historical participation rate can be seen at ZeroHedge and BLS. 6. Marginally attached workers: From the BLS, "These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey." I know, it's not an easily digested description, but it's a population of unemployed that want to work, but for various reasons have not looked for work recently. Currently 2.6 million workers are considered marginally attached. If they are included in the unemployment rate, that rate increases from 9.1 percent to 10.6 percent. 7. The underemployed: Who are the underemployed? "The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers). These individuals were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job," states the BLS. The August employment report indicated that underemployment increased from July by 400,000 to 8.8 million. Part-time jobs range in hours from one to 34, any job of more than 34 hours is considered full-time work. That might not be the case in the real world where a full-time job is considered 40 hours, but that is the case according to the BLS. While some believe that part-time jobs eventually translate into full-time jobs, that hasn't been the case during this recession, as the linked graph from Calculated Risk illustrates. From 2000 to 2008, the number of underemployed ranged between 3 and 4 million. There are currently 4 million more unemployed than at the start of the recession. Businesses would need to see a dramatic uptick in business to place 4 million more part-timers into full-time slots. The "real" unemployment rate increases to 16.2 percent when the underemployed and marginally attached workers are considered. 8. The not-unemployed unemployed: Yes, there is a point at which the BLS stops considering an unemployed person unemployed. That point is reached when an unemployed person has not looked for a job in the previous 12 months. When asked, the BLS replied, "The 3.9 million individuals not in the labor force that you are referring to responded that they wanted a job, but had not looked for a job in the last 12 months. They are not considered unemployed because they had not actively searched for work in the four weeks preceding the survey." I recall no mention of these 3.9 million from any mass media outlet. This 3.9 million are the most discouraged of discouraged workers, but if the jobs market was improving, these millions would start to become part of the unemployed once more. If these 3.9 million were added to the "real" unemployment rate (U6) the rate would increase from 16.2 percent to 19 percent. Nearly one in five American workers is either unemployed or underemployed. Why isn't that disturbing fact in the media spotlight every day? 9. The long-term unemployed: These 6.0 million are the jobless who have been looking for work for 6 months or more (this does not include the not-unemployed unemployed). Long-term unemployment receives occasional mass media recognition, but it scratches only the surface. There are subsets of the long-term unemployed that show the depth of the problem more clearly. The 6.0 million long-term unemployed represent 43.1 percent of all unemployed. Of that 6 million, 4.458 million have been jobless for 52 or more weeks and within that group 2.040 million, a record high, have been unemployed for 99 weeks or more (not to be confused with the "99ers" explained below). Even more startling than those numbers is the lack of response by lawmakers. 10. 99ers: These long-term unemployed have exhausted all unemployment benefits (not all unemployed collect unemployment benefits). The name "99ers" comes from the fact that some collected benefits for up to 99 weeks. It's a misnomer in the sense that only about 25 states are eligible for the 99 week maximum; many unemployed exhausted benefits in as little as 60 weeks. Official statistics are not kept for this unemployed population. When Mish Shedlock of Global Economics Trend Analysis was asked about the 99ers population, he contacted Tim Wallace. Wallace has been digging into long-term unemployment data to try and weed out the number of unemployed who have exhausted all unemployment benefits. His most recent efforts show that, "we can safely assume that 3,058,152 people have exhausted all benefits -- they are no longer covered on either sets of (unemployment) rolls." But it doesn't end there, using some additional Department of Labor data Wallace pries out another 2.0 million 99ers, for a combined 5.1 million. Other 99ers estimates range from 1.5 to 5.0 million, but as the linked graph at Here come the '99ers at Calculated Risk illustrates; the number of unemployed that are exhausting unemployment benefits is rapidly increasing. While there may be disagreement about the total population of 99ers, Wallace concludes, "There is absolutely NO EXCUSE for this to not be a readily accessible piece of data daily. After all, Walmart can tell you how many strawberry Pop Tarts they sold yesterday." There is also no excuse for the mass media ignoring this vast unemployed population and not taking agencies to task for not reporting accurate 99ers data. Millions of additional unemployed will become 99ers immediately unless extended unemployment benefits are renewed in December. A worker laid off today will be eligible for only 26 weeks of state benefits unless an extension is approved by a much divided Congress. How can an economy function when so many are out of work and have exhausted unemployment benefits? (To view Wallace's report, go to, How Many Unemployed Have Exhausted All Benefits?) 11. How many unemployed collect unemployment benefits? It may seem reasonable to assume that all 14 million unemployed collect unemployment insurance benefits, but that is not the case. In September 7.17 million unemployed collected benefits, which is only 51 percent of all unemployed (U3, the 9.1 percent). Surprisingly, on average just one third of all unemployed are eligible for unemployment benefits at the state level (2011 data). As an example, temporary staff, self-employed and recent high school and college graduates may be out of work, but not eligible for benefits. Eligibility rates range from 57 percent in AK and PA to TX at 21 percent. Each state can set its own guidelines regarding eligibility requirements. When someone tells you they are unemployed, it's more than likely they are not collecting unemployment benefits. Many pundits and some GOP lawmakers excoriate all unemployed for being lazy and enjoying life on the dole. Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC)recently said, "People are gaming the system and refusing to take jobs because they get unemployment benefits and food stamps." That naïve and cruel assessment disparages all unemployed, but it's particularly insulting to the majority of unemployed who aren't eligible to collect or have exhausted unemployment benefits. If Sen. DeMint and his ilk want to see where the system is being gamed, he may want to look at Wall Street instead of Main Street. What message can be taken from this list of realistic and discomforting unemployment figures? The bottom line is that unemployment is much worse than the 9.1 percent unemployment figure pushed by the media and many lawmakers; in fact it's considerably worse. Mass media's inability to communicate the depth of the jobs crisis is one reason the response to it has been primarily weak and ineffectual. If the media mutes the crisis, lawmakers and corporations will continue to act slowly and impotently, forcing millions of American families to suffer needlessly. Unemployment and jobs creation are national emergencies demanding focused attention with a wide-ranging and rapid response. This American jobs disaster will not vanish if neglected, but what will vanish are the hopes, dreams and financial well-being of millions of hard-working Americans". End

Submitted by Paul (not verified) on
Congress and the administration are side stepping the issue and it will haunt them in the next election. The mainstream media has no time or tolerance for the truth. Below is an honest assessment by Michael Thorton in Huff Post Business on 9/18/2011 of the current true state of unemployment in the US. This is not what all politicians want you to hear. Think abouit it, the Dems pump sunshine and the Reps sit back and smile while the rope around the country's neck gets tighter. Unfortunately, what is happening to real people is of no real interest to any of them. Read the best accounting of the current situation below: "President Obama recently addressed the nation during a joint session of Congress and the main theme of that address was the need to create jobs, lots of jobs, millions of jobs. The Great Recession has cost US workers millions of jobs and those jobs have not come back as quickly as they disappeared and in many cases those jobs will never return. According to the Economic Policy Institute, "In total, there are 6.9 million fewer jobs today than there were in December 2007." That is only a small part of the jobs-hole story, a story that is often ignored, overlooked and oversimplified by mass media. The media has failed to present the unemployment problem, with all its associated economically devastating consequences, in the manner it deserves. It's possible that unemployment facts and figures don't translate well for advertisers, or they are too cumbersome to present in a two-minute segment. Whatever the reason, the mass media seem to avoid unemployment details as they would avoid describing and filming fresh road kill during a dinnertime newscast. While some excellent blogs clearly explain unemployment data, such as Mish's Economic Trend Analysis, Calculated Risk and Economic Populist, mass media sites are absent. The unemployment rate remained at 9.1 percent for August. Unemployment to the mass media generally centers on that single point within the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) monthly employment report. There is passing mention of discouraged workers and the underemployed, but the true scale of the jobs crisis is given scant attention considering the magnitude of the problem. What follows are 11 unemployment details that mass media underreports or ignores completely. This list will not be recalled fondly as a top-10 list of best quarterbacks or favorite vacation retreats would, but it's where the REAL unemployment crisis is exposed. 1. The jobs deficit: That is the total number of jobs lost PLUS jobs that should have been created since the recession began in December 2007; as mentioned above, there are 6.9 million fewer jobs today than at the start of the Great Recession, but that tells only half the tale of the jobs deficit. There is also the matter of creating jobs to keep up with the increase in workforce population. Those new workers include high school and college graduates, and immigrants. The number of jobs that need to be created each month to accommodate new entrants into the workforce ranges from 120,000 - 150,000. Adding together the jobs lost since the recession and the new jobs needed for population growth, the total jobs deficit is estimated to be 11.3 million. A few tax breaks, some targeted workforce retraining and some regulatory relief for businesses are not going to be the forces behind the creation of more than 11 million jobs. A massive effort is required to fill that gaping jobs hole. 2. Filling the jobs deficit: According to EPI: "To fill that gap in three years -- by mid-2014 -- while still keeping up with the growth in the working-age population -- would require adding around 400,000 jobs every single month. To fill the gap in five years -- by mid-2016 -- would mean adding 280,000 jobs each month. By comparison, over the last three months, the economy added just 35,000 jobs, on average." It's striking that the economy has created only 105,000 jobs during the past three months. When considering only the new entrants to the workforce, such as recent college graduates, that three-month span produced a shortage of 270,000 or more jobs. 3. The Birth/Death Model: This is not births and deaths of people, but of businesses. The BLS estimates how many jobs were created or lost by business formations or closings. In August, the BLS estimated that 87,000 jobs were created by new businesses. This is an often discussed employment barometer at many economy centered blogs, but mass media pays it meager attention. Why is that so? It's a complicated model that can make the head spin of even the most astute employment expert. But there appears to be agreement that the model has a tendency to misread the economic cycle, as Calculated Risk points out, "A few years ago several people -- myself included -- pointed out that the birth/death model would miss turning points in employment. I thought the model would overstate the number of jobs added as the economy slid into recession (and understate the number of jobs lost monthly during a recession). Sure enough that is what the annual benchmark revision showed during the employment recession." To illustrate just how wide this model can be off the jobs mark, Bloomberg shows that 824,000 jobs "disappeared" after a birth/death model adjustment in February 2010. That adjustment is important because if it was known that job creation was weaker by 824,000 jobs during 2009, additional job creation efforts could have been considered. At present job creation is stagnant and we won't know what role the birth/death model has on today's job numbers until 2012. But if history is any guide, job creation may again be overstated. 4. JOLTS (Job Openings Labor Turnover Survey): This monthly BLS report gives an indication of the number of available jobs. On the occasion that it is mentioned by the media, it offers only a sliver of the issue, such as the number of unemployed per job opening, which stands currently at 4.3. From the BLS, "The number of job openings in July was 3.2 million, little changed from June. Although the number of job openings remained below the 4.4 million openings when the recession began in December 2007, the level in July was 1.1 million openings higher than in July 2009 (the most recent trough). " What is missing from that JOLTS report? Plenty. First, the 4.3 unemployed per job opening is limited to the 14 million U3 unemployed (the 9.1 percent). But those aren't the only unemployed wanting a full-time job. There are the 2.6 million marginally attached workers, 8.8 million underemployed (those who want full-time work, but are working part-time). I'm not going to include the 3.9 million non-unemployed unemployed (explained later). When those 11.4 million workers are included with the 14 million U3 unemployed, there are 25.4 million workers and 3.2 million jobs, or 8 unemployed or underemployed workers per job opening. The second issue with JOLTS is that it doesn't distinguish whether the available jobs are full-time or part-time. According to a BLS representative "Part-time jobs are included in our job openings counts; however, we do not distinguish between full and part-time positions. We only ask if the position exists, not which type of position it is." It's important to know how many job openings are part-time, since part-time jobs usually pay less and offer fewer, if any, benefits. Extrapolating from the BLS "Employed persons by class of worker and part-time status" data, there are 139,627,000 employed workers, of which 27,034,000 are part-timers. More than 19 percent of all workers work part-time. If nearly 20 percent of all available job openings are part-time, there are only 2.56 million full-time jobs for 25.4 million unemployed and underemployed who want full-time work, or 10 workers for each available full-time position; more than double the 4.3 workers per job opening touted by most media outlets. 5. The participation rate: Is, according to the BLS, "The labor force as a percent of the civilian noninstitutional population." Or, more simply, the percentage of the working-age population that is working or is actively looking for a job. The participation rate rose 0.1 percent in August to 64 percent, which is slightly above the 27-year low recorded in July of 63.9 percent. If more jobs were available would there be more participation? More than likely that would be the case. The mass media very seldom mentions this point, but the participation rate shows the potential number of people waiting on the sidelines for the job market to improve before they jump back in. A couple of striking graphs of the historical participation rate can be seen at ZeroHedge and BLS. 6. Marginally attached workers: From the BLS, "These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey." I know, it's not an easily digested description, but it's a population of unemployed that want to work, but for various reasons have not looked for work recently. Currently 2.6 million workers are considered marginally attached. If they are included in the unemployment rate, that rate increases from 9.1 percent to 10.6 percent. 7. The underemployed: Who are the underemployed? "The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers). These individuals were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job," states the BLS. The August employment report indicated that underemployment increased from July by 400,000 to 8.8 million. Part-time jobs range in hours from one to 34, any job of more than 34 hours is considered full-time work. That might not be the case in the real world where a full-time job is considered 40 hours, but that is the case according to the BLS. While some believe that part-time jobs eventually translate into full-time jobs, that hasn't been the case during this recession, as the linked graph from Calculated Risk illustrates. From 2000 to 2008, the number of underemployed ranged between 3 and 4 million. There are currently 4 million more unemployed than at the start of the recession. Businesses would need to see a dramatic uptick in business to place 4 million more part-timers into full-time slots. The "real" unemployment rate increases to 16.2 percent when the underemployed and marginally attached workers are considered. 8. The not-unemployed unemployed: Yes, there is a point at which the BLS stops considering an unemployed person unemployed. That point is reached when an unemployed person has not looked for a job in the previous 12 months. When asked, the BLS replied, "The 3.9 million individuals not in the labor force that you are referring to responded that they wanted a job, but had not looked for a job in the last 12 months. They are not considered unemployed because they had not actively searched for work in the four weeks preceding the survey." I recall no mention of these 3.9 million from any mass media outlet. This 3.9 million are the most discouraged of discouraged workers, but if the jobs market was improving, these millions would start to become part of the unemployed once more. If these 3.9 million were added to the "real" unemployment rate (U6) the rate would increase from 16.2 percent to 19 percent. Nearly one in five American workers is either unemployed or underemployed. Why isn't that disturbing fact in the media spotlight every day? 9. The long-term unemployed: These 6.0 million are the jobless who have been looking for work for 6 months or more (this does not include the not-unemployed unemployed). Long-term unemployment receives occasional mass media recognition, but it scratches only the surface. There are subsets of the long-term unemployed that show the depth of the problem more clearly. The 6.0 million long-term unemployed represent 43.1 percent of all unemployed. Of that 6 million, 4.458 million have been jobless for 52 or more weeks and within that group 2.040 million, a record high, have been unemployed for 99 weeks or more (not to be confused with the "99ers" explained below). Even more startling than those numbers is the lack of response by lawmakers. 10. 99ers: These long-term unemployed have exhausted all unemployment benefits (not all unemployed collect unemployment benefits). The name "99ers" comes from the fact that some collected benefits for up to 99 weeks. It's a misnomer in the sense that only about 25 states are eligible for the 99 week maximum; many unemployed exhausted benefits in as little as 60 weeks. Official statistics are not kept for this unemployed population. When Mish Shedlock of Global Economics Trend Analysis was asked about the 99ers population, he contacted Tim Wallace. Wallace has been digging into long-term unemployment data to try and weed out the number of unemployed who have exhausted all unemployment benefits. His most recent efforts show that, "we can safely assume that 3,058,152 people have exhausted all benefits -- they are no longer covered on either sets of (unemployment) rolls." But it doesn't end there, using some additional Department of Labor data Wallace pries out another 2.0 million 99ers, for a combined 5.1 million. Other 99ers estimates range from 1.5 to 5.0 million, but as the linked graph at Here come the '99ers at Calculated Risk illustrates; the number of unemployed that are exhausting unemployment benefits is rapidly increasing. While there may be disagreement about the total population of 99ers, Wallace concludes, "There is absolutely NO EXCUSE for this to not be a readily accessible piece of data daily. After all, Walmart can tell you how many strawberry Pop Tarts they sold yesterday." There is also no excuse for the mass media ignoring this vast unemployed population and not taking agencies to task for not reporting accurate 99ers data. Millions of additional unemployed will become 99ers immediately unless extended unemployment benefits are renewed in December. A worker laid off today will be eligible for only 26 weeks of state benefits unless an extension is approved by a much divided Congress. How can an economy function when so many are out of work and have exhausted unemployment benefits? (To view Wallace's report, go to, How Many Unemployed Have Exhausted All Benefits?) 11. How many unemployed collect unemployment benefits? It may seem reasonable to assume that all 14 million unemployed collect unemployment insurance benefits, but that is not the case. In September 7.17 million unemployed collected benefits, which is only 51 percent of all unemployed (U3, the 9.1 percent). Surprisingly, on average just one third of all unemployed are eligible for unemployment benefits at the state level (2011 data). As an example, temporary staff, self-employed and recent high school and college graduates may be out of work, but not eligible for benefits. Eligibility rates range from 57 percent in AK and PA to TX at 21 percent. Each state can set its own guidelines regarding eligibility requirements. When someone tells you they are unemployed, it's more than likely they are not collecting unemployment benefits. Many pundits and some GOP lawmakers excoriate all unemployed for being lazy and enjoying life on the dole. Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC)recently said, "People are gaming the system and refusing to take jobs because they get unemployment benefits and food stamps." That naïve and cruel assessment disparages all unemployed, but it's particularly insulting to the majority of unemployed who aren't eligible to collect or have exhausted unemployment benefits. If Sen. DeMint and his ilk want to see where the system is being gamed, he may want to look at Wall Street instead of Main Street. What message can be taken from this list of realistic and discomforting unemployment figures? The bottom line is that unemployment is much worse than the 9.1 percent unemployment figure pushed by the media and many lawmakers; in fact it's considerably worse. Mass media's inability to communicate the depth of the jobs crisis is one reason the response to it has been primarily weak and ineffectual. If the media mutes the crisis, lawmakers and corporations will continue to act slowly and impotently, forcing millions of American families to suffer needlessly. Unemployment and jobs creation are national emergencies demanding focused attention with a wide-ranging and rapid response. This American jobs disaster will not vanish if neglected, but what will vanish are the hopes, dreams and financial well-being of millions of hard-working Americans". End

Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on
Unfortunately by bringing up the 99ers, they are admitting that the unemployment problem is worse than they are stating. this is not consistent with their objective of not making the economy seem worse.

Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on
Unfortunately by bringing up the 99ers, they are admitting that the unemployment problem is worse than they are stating. this is not consistent with their objective of not making the economy seem worse.

Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on
Starting next year people losing unemployment might be considered 26 ers and in some states 20 ers if congress does not extend benefits. The one to benefit most if it fails in congress will be Obama since he was in favor of extending and the republicans will look like the bad guys - if the republicans are smart they will extend the benefits through 2012 - otherwise they risk losing several key states in the 2012 elections both for Prez and Congress...

Submitted by frank r (not verified) on
ALL I CAN SAY IS FUCK'''' YOU PALPITATIONS IF THERE IS A GOVERNMENT CALAP YOU AND ME WILL BE IN THE SAME BOAT AND I AM GOING TO PUSH YOU OUT TO FEED THE SHARKS LoL LoL

Submitted by lovingmyUSA (not verified) on
You all realize that there are 52 weeks in a year...right? So if you are fricking lazy, dont want to work at MickeyD's, don't want to relocate...you can just sit on your fat ass and play on the internet for up to almost TWO FRICKING YEARS???? At sometime you have to get off the teat, and stand on your own two feet. Of course, the 48% that don't pay income tax would approve of this...democraps building their base one entiltlement at a time. Why get a job when you can get food stamps, and stay at home for 99+ weeks....

Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on
what can we do in my neighbood in las vegas we will be lucky if their are 15 familys on each block still in their homes because of bad loans and no more unemployment issues. I have been praying for long term for the 99ers being i am one of them. nobody is hearing the american people i hope it doesn't end up in riots all over the united states and people end up killing each other over wall street and these bad banks.also a responce to the person that is making responces to people need to get off their but to find work not everyone is playing vidio games alot of people are out their looking and looking and looking for work if you work at Mcdonalds good for you you have no right critizing the american people some people are not getting hired because they are over qualified where do you fit in. i have worked 35 yrs straight. if your 50 or over we have discrimmination issue towards are age to get a job you better be careful what you say you might end up in the same situation.

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