It is nice to see that more and more people are agreeing with me that the housing bubble in Southern California is bursting and that home prices will fall until they catch up with incomes.

The LA Times has a very common sense piece about the housing bubble in Southern California.

"In 2002, the median price of a single-family home in Los Angeles was $270,000 and the median homeowner’s income was $65,000. With a $50,000 down payment, the annual cost of that house (taxes, insurance and payment on a 30-year fixed-rate conventional mortgage) would add up to about 33% of the median household’s income — just under the 35% mark that the Federal Housing Administration calls the upper limit of “affordable.”

"By 2006, the cost of that same house doubled, to $540,000 — pushed by unbridled speculation fueled by unparalleled access to mortgage capital. But median income rose a paltry 15%. So today that same set of costs come to 60% of gross income.

"That might be a manageable burden when home prices are rising at double-digit rates, creating new equity that can be accessed to support spending — but not when prices are flat and the home-equity ATM is closed." - Via Nationalbubble.com

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