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Exit Polls Potomac Primary : DC, MD, Virginia

Armen Hareyan's picture

Politisite Exit Polling Data from the Potomac Primary, Washington, DC, Maryland, and Virginia.

This is part of our continuing coverage of the Potomac Primary. Be sure to check back as we will be posting Exit Polling data as we get them. We also will be providing Real Time Election Results begining at 7:00 pm EST or 0:00 hrs GMT (UTC)

You may also wish to view Politisite Political Projections : DC, MD, & VA for this contest. Yout can fnd our past reviews and coverage by typing Politisite in the search area at NowPublic.

This information is posted in reverse chronological order. Newest updates will be posted at the top. Older posts at the bottom. For a synopsis of events as they unfold please read from bottom to top. Each post is time stamped.

5:27 pm - The Daily kos Humor about our desire to know the short term future

Early Exit Polling Has Gravel With a Substantial Lead In Potomac Primary
by LunkHead
Tue Feb 12, 2008 at 06:00:40 AM PST

On the Republican side, Ronald Reagan’s mouldering corpse is showing unexpected strength.
So says a friend of my step-mother’s ex-husband’s widow’s husbands hairstylists.
This is a snarky plea not to report every rumor as gospel, and to try and not make today “the night of a thousand exit poll diaries”, which sounds like an episode of the 1960s show Wild, Wild West.
Please some sanity?

Source: via politisite

3:57 pm - WMAR in Baltimore, MD a NowPublic Contributer will be provding coverage on the election results begining at 8 pm-

Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton denied Monday that her campaign is in trouble after losing to Barack Obama in four weekend voting contests and replacing her campaign manager.

“I’m still ahead in the popular vote and in delegates,” Clinton said.

Speaking to reporters after touring a General Motors plant outside Baltimore, Clinton said she feels very good about the state of the race, even though she is not expected to win any victories between now and March 4, when voters in Texas and Ohio cast ballots.

“We had a great night on Super Tuesday,” Clinton said, referring to the 22 states that voted Feb. 5. Clinton won 8 states to Obama’s 13 but scored in many of the biggest contests including
New York, California, Massachusetts and New Jersey. And they
divided the delegates almost evenly.

“I believe if you look at the states coming upcoming, I am very confident.”

The former first lady said the decision by Patti Solis Doyle to step down as campaign manager was personal and reflected the toll of the long campaign, not a problem with her job performance.

“I have the greatest respect and affection for her,” Clinton said. “I’m grateful for the enormously successful job that she’s done.”

She said Solis Doyle would remain a senior adviser. Maggie Williams, a longtime Clinton confidante and former chief of staff from Clinton’s days as first lady, replaced Solis Doyle.

ABC2 News will have complete coverage of Clinton’s Maryland visit on ABC2 News at 5 and 6 o’clock.

Source: via politisite

12:09 pm - OyGirl relates her experience at the poll. Interesting that the oll worker didnt ask her Republican or Democrat. The poll worker said, “Democrat?”

Today, I voted. The line was the longest I’ve ever seen. We waited 45 minutes. When you get to the table, they ask if you want to vote in the democratic or republican primary. They did not ask me, the woman looked at me and said “democrat?”

Ours was a paper ballot, with the little circle next to the names, that you color in with a pen. [I noticed that the names listed - which still included the names of candidates that had bowed out- were not in alphabetical order, or in any order that makes any kind of sense to me. Then you walk to a machine and feed the paper in, and wait for the little counter to go up to ensure it takes. I had to feed mine through twice before that little counter went up. I was the 300th person to vote in my precinct. At roughly 10 am. Of the 300 votes, 195 were for the democratic primary. There was nobody from CNN taking exit polls.

Source: via politisite

11:59 am EST -

Last week we posted an entry that talked about the fact that most exit polls don’t ask Democratic voters if they are evangelicals. This week we find out that the Zogby polling group did just that in Missouri and Tennessee during last week’s primaries. According to a Yahoo News story on the exit polls, they were commissioned by a organization called Faith in Public Life. Faith in Public Life is described as a non-partisan resource center.

The results are interesting. This is a quote from the Yahoo article:

In Missouri, the polls showed 34 percent of all white evangelicals who voted took part in the Democratic primary versus 66 percent in the Republican primary.

Evangelicals made up 19 percent of all Democratic voters in Missouri and supported Clinton over Obama by 54 percent to 37 percent, closely mirroring the vote among all whites.

In Tennessee, the polls indicated 32 percent of primary voters who fit this profile were Democratic and accounted for 29 percent of the party’s vote there.

It would be interesting to see what such exit polls would show for Ohio. One problem with the media is that very few reporters actually know white evangelicals. Since they don’t know from personal experience any evangelical voters who are Democratic, it is easy for them to conclude that all such voters are Republicans.

This, of course, is not true. Indeed in 2004, according to the 2004 CNN exit poll, 21% of white evangelicals voted for John Kerry and they made up 23% of the electorate. Raising that percentage to 30% would have made a big impact on the 2004 election since Bush lost those voters who were not white, evangelicals by a 56% to 43% margin.

Source: via politisite

Young voter turn out -

According to the results from CNN exit polls and from the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement, young voters have turned out in record numbers in more than 20 states. In nearly every state holding a primary or caucus last Tuesday, youth turnout surged, doubling turnouts from the 2000 and 2004 electoral seasons

Source: via politisite

What is an Exit Poll?

An exit poll is a poll of voters taken immediately after they have exited the polling stations. Unlike an opinion poll, which asks who the voter plans to vote for or some similar formulation, an exit poll asks who the voter actually voted for. A similar poll conducted before actual voters have voted is called an entrance poll. Pollsters - usually private companies working for newspapers or broadcasters - conduct exit polls to gain an early indication as to how an election has turned out, as in many elections the actual result may take hours or even days to count.

Source: Source: via politisite

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